For ELBA :
Warning strong breeze.
We are 90% sure of the situation, because the atmosphere might be less unstable and showers rarer than forecast.
Overcast skies. Showers will be frequent and heavy. In the evening, overcast skies.
Showers. SE force 6 becoming force 5 in the middle of the day then E force 4. Gusts reaching 38 knots in the morning. Rough sea becoming moderate in the middle of the day. Low, short swell from SSW then moderate, fairly long swell from SSE in the evening. Excellent visibility becoming good in the evening.