Low 1000 hPa centered at 100 nautical miles in the South-West of Fastnet Rock (South-West Ireland) dropping in a stationary position.
For Arcachon :
No gale warning.
We are 80% sure of the situation, because in this type of situation, it is difficult to define precisely when the precipitation will begin.
Light cloudy spells. In the evening, very cloudy with risk of storms.
Showers. S wind force 3 from the middle of the day. Gusts reaching 28 knots in the evening. Smooth sea. Low, short swell from WNW. Excellent visibility becoming good in the evening.