For Epave 1°3,66E 50°8,23N :
No gale warning.
We are 80% sure of the situation, because the high pressure system could move in more quickly than forecast.
Warm sun all day. In the evening, clear skies.
E force 4 turning NE in the middle of the day then becoming force 5. Gusts reaching 24 knots in the evening. Slight sea. Low, short swell from NNE. Excellent visibility.