For The Rose-Virginie wreck :
No gale warning.
We are 80% sure of the situation, because the high pressure system could move in more quickly than forecast.
Sun in the morning, hazy cloud giving way to brightening skies in the afternoon. No precipitation. In the evening, relatively clear skies becoming changeable.
WSW force 2 freshening S force 4 in the middle of the day then NW force 3. Gusts reaching 18 knots in the middle of the day. Smooth sea becoming smooth to slight in the middle of the day. Low, short swell from SE. Excellent visibility.