For The Laos wreck :
No gale warning.
We are 80% sure of the situation, because the high pressure system could move in more quickly than forecast.
Warm sun all day. In the evening, clear skies.
ENE force 4 becoming NE force 3 in the middle of the day then NNW force 5. Gusts reaching 25 knots in the evening. Smooth sea becoming smooth to slight in the middle of the day. Low, short swell from SE. Excellent visibility.