For Turtle head :
No gale warning.
We are 80% sure of the situation, because the high pressure system could move in more quickly than forecast.
Skies progressively clouding over with storms forming. Light showers. In the evening, very cloudy with risk of storms.
Light showers progressively becoming less frequent. SE force 4 in the middle of the day turning S force 3 in the evening. Gusts reaching 23 knots in the middle of the day. Slight sea becoming moderate in the evening. Low, short swell from WSW then moderate in the evening. Excellent visibility becoming good in the evening.