For Bateau cassé :
No gale warning.
We are 80% sure of the situation, because the high pressure system could move in more quickly than forecast.
Skies with few clouds. In the evening, skies with few clouds.
NE wind force 3 from the middle of the day. Gusts reaching 16 knots in the middle of the day. Smooth to slight sea. Low, short swell from NE. Excellent visibility becoming poor in the evening.