Low 1015 hPa centered at 90 nautical miles in the West of Fastnet Rock (South-West Ireland) moving at 17 knots to the East and dropping to 1009 hPa to be centered on the South of England.
For Penfoul :
No gale warning.
We are 80% sure of the situation, because the high pressure system could move in more quickly than forecast.
Overcast and misty, reduced visibility. Drizzle fading over time. In the evening, very cloudy.
Chance of light rain. SW wind force 2 from the middle of the day. Gusts reaching 14 knots in the middle of the day. Slight sea. Low, fairly long swell from WNW. Visibility reduced by mist becoming reduced by mist in the evening.